QE3幾時會來臨 (2) ?
好啦，update一下大家，隔左幾日，美國佬個國債又更新到突破16,000,000,000,000美元，而呢個勢頭亦唔見會掉轉頭回落，點解呢？呢件事其實就同政治好撚有關係。
啦，好撚簡單一個道理，一個人點解會爭人錢先？最簡單講，入不敷支，或者駛大左，咁佢就要爭住錢黎找數ga la，美國佬就正正係入不敷支啦。但入不敷支都要知點解會洗咁撚多錢出去ga? 呢件事就即係要搵究竟邊撚個楂旗，邊撚個話比錢，咁係美國最大果條撚样，就當然係美國總統啦。下表就係唔同美國的”帝系表”
| Years | GDP | GDP indexed back to 2005 | Budget | President | Party |
| 1993 | 6,667.4 | 8,516.2 | -255.1 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 1994 | 7,085.2 | 8,863.1 | -203.2 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 1995 | 7,414.7 | 9,086.0 | -164.0 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 1996 | 7,838.5 | 9,425.8 | -107.4 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 1997 | 8,332.4 | 9,845.9 | -21.9 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 1998 | 8,793.5 | 10,274.7 | 69.3 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 1999 | 9,353.5 | 10,770.7 | 125.6 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 2000 | 9,951.5 | 11,216.4 | 236.2 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 2001 | 10,286.2 | 11,337.5 | 128.2 | Clinton | Democratic |
| 2002 | 10,642.3 | 11,543.1 | -157.8 | Bush | Republican |
| 2003 | 11,142.2 | 11,836.4 | -377.6 | Bush | Republican |
| 2004 | 11,853.3 | 12,246.9 | -412.7 | Bush | Republican |
| 2005 | 12,623.0 | 12,623.0 | -318.3 | Bush | Republican |
| 2006 | 13,377.2 | 12,958.5 | -248.2 | Bush | Republican |
| 2007 | 14,028.7 | 13,206.4 | -160.7 | Bush | Republican |
| 2008 | 14,291.5 | 13,161.9 | -458.6 | Bush | Republican |
| 2009 | 13,939.0 | 12,703.1 | -1,412.7 | Obama | Democratic |
| 2010 | 14,526.5 | 13,088.0 | -1,555.6 | Obama | Democratic |
好啦，係上面你可以好明顯睇到有兩個party交換話事，克林頓由1993-2001年的democratic，成功將赤字又變番左盈餘。到到布希果時2002-2008，佢又係鳩咁駛錢駛撚到閪咁。2008年仲搞埋個QE1，臨落台就迫你後面繼續駛錢，點解要咁做呢？好簡單，政治把戲嘛，駛撚到迫你救唔番，自己的政黨咪可以過幾年又插爆你番上黎做總統囉。
Democratic呢隻奧巴馬面對的應該都幾難搞，你比三年時間佢應該都無法將赤字變番做盈餘，咁即係點呢？即係赤字年年有，銀紙就繼續印囉。不過大選前席，係咪呢家要印黎比REpublician 入位，呢個就應該唔會ga la，暫時個分析先到呢個位，明天再續。
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